AI-Blase platzte durch...?
$215,803.18 Volumen
Jul 1, 2027
30. Juni 202720%
0%
31. Dezember 202610%
0%
Marktüberblick
Markteinführungstermine:
- Marktzeitraum: Ab dem Veröffentlichungsdatum bis July 23, 2026, at 2:51 PM UTC
- Marktschluss: July 1, 2027, at 3:59 AM UTC
- Frist für die Entscheidung: Die Entscheidung wird nach Börsenschluss getroffen oder früher, falls das Ergebnis bereits zuvor feststeht.
Marktkontext
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe:
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
- iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high.
- OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.
- OpenAI, Inc. is acquired.
- H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at:
https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index.
- Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
This market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe.
This market will not resolve to "Yes" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trends
Zeitleiste
Markt veröffentlichtJul 23, 2026, 5:51 pm GMT+03:00
Der Markt schließtErst wenn ein Ergebnis feststeht.
BeschlussDas Ergebnis wird vom Team innerhalb von 24 Stunden nach seinem Eintreten validiert.
Aktivität
30. Juni 202720%
+5
+10
+25
Bet0.00
Gewinn0.00
Möglicher Gewinn:.
Über Prognosemärkte
