Wie viele Erdbeben mit einer Stärke von 7,0 oder mehr im Jahr 2026?

$99,143.75 Band

Dec 31, 2026

14–1645%

17–1938%

20+12%

11–139%

Marktüberblick

Markteinführungstermine:

Marktzeitraum: Ab dem Veröffentlichungsdatum bis July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
Marktschluss: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Frist für die Entscheidung: Die Entscheidung wird nach Börsenschluss getroffen oder früher, falls das Ergebnis bereits zuvor feststeht.

Marktkontext

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.