Combien de tremblements de terre de 7,0 ou plus en 2026 ?

$99,143.75 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

14–1645%

17–1938%

20+12%

11–139%

Aperçu du marché

Dates de lancement :

Période de commercialisation : à compter de la date de publication jusqu’au July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
Clôture du marché : December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Date limite de résolution : la résolution sera déterminée après la clôture du marché, ou plus tôt si le résultat est atteint

Contexte du marché

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.