US economic state at the end of 2026?

$4,381.44 Vol.

Jan 31, 2027

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)59%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)21%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)5%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)3%

Aperçu du marché

Dates de lancement :

Période de commercialisation : à compter de la date de publication jusqu’au July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Clôture du marché : January 31, 2027, at 12:00 AM UTC
Date limite de résolution : la résolution sera déterminée après la clôture du marché, ou plus tôt si le résultat est atteint

Règles

Le token doit être activement et publiquement transférable et négociable. Les simples annonces ne suffisent pas. Stable a récemment fait parler d’elle en obtenant 1 milliard de dollars de dépôts avant même le lancement de son token. Le fondateur et PDG de Stable, Paul Faecks, a déclaré à Decrypt que la blockchain de ce stablecoin lancerait son réseau principal d’ici « la fin de l’année ». Le réseau principal sera-t-il lancé d’ici la fin de l’année ?

Contexte du marché

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release. This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026. If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026. This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.