La Chine envahira-t-elle Taïwan d'ici la fin de 2026 ?

$2,836,849.52 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Aperçu du marché

Dates de lancement :

Période de commercialisation : à compter de la date de publication jusqu’au July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Clôture du marché : December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Date limite de résolution : la résolution sera déterminée après la clôture du marché, ou plus tôt si le résultat est atteint

Contexte du marché

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.