Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$253,012.20 Vol.

Jul 31, 2026

December 3113%

October 316%

August 312%

July 31<1%

Panoramica del mercato

Date di lancio:

Periodo di mercato: dalla data di pubblicazione fino al July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
Chiusura del mercato: July 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Termine per la risoluzione: la risoluzione sarà determinata dopo la chiusura del mercato, o prima qualora si giunga a un esito

Regole

Il token deve essere attivamente e pubblicamente trasferibile e negoziabile. I semplici annunci non sono sufficienti. Stable ha recentemente suscitato scalpore quando si è assicurata 1 miliardo di dollari in depositi prima del lancio del proprio token. Il fondatore e amministratore delegato di Stable, Paul Faecks, ha dichiarato a Decrypt che la blockchain della stablecoin lancerà la propria mainnet entro «la fine dell’anno». La mainnet verrà lanciata entro la fine dell’anno?

Contesto di mercato

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors). Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.