Iran leader end of 2026?

$2,928,424.57 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Mojtaba Khamenei79%

No Head of State7%

Alireza Arafi4%

Reza Pahlavi3%

Panoramica del mercato

Date di lancio:

Periodo di mercato: dalla data di pubblicazione fino al July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
Chiusura del mercato: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Termine per la risoluzione: la risoluzione sarà determinata dopo la chiusura del mercato, o prima qualora si giunga a un esito

Regole

Il token deve essere attivamente e pubblicamente trasferibile e negoziabile. I semplici annunci non sono sufficienti. Stable ha recentemente suscitato scalpore quando si è assicurata 1 miliardo di dollari in depositi prima del lancio del proprio token. Il fondatore e amministratore delegato di Stable, Paul Faecks, ha dichiarato a Decrypt che la blockchain della stablecoin lancerà la propria mainnet entro «la fine dell’anno». La mainnet verrà lanciata entro la fine dell’anno?

Contesto di mercato

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.