Megaquake by July 31?

$2,465.16 Vol.

Jul 31, 2026

Panoramica del mercato

Date di lancio:

Periodo di mercato: dalla data di pubblicazione fino al July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
Chiusura del mercato: July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
Termine per la risoluzione: la risoluzione sarà determinata dopo la chiusura del mercato, o prima qualora si giunga a un esito

Regole

Il token deve essere attivamente e pubblicamente trasferibile e negoziabile. I semplici annunci non sono sufficienti. Stable ha recentemente suscitato scalpore quando si è assicurata 1 miliardo di dollari in depositi prima del lancio del proprio token. Il fondatore e amministratore delegato di Stable, Paul Faecks, ha dichiarato a Decrypt che la blockchain della stablecoin lancerà la propria mainnet entro «la fine dell’anno». La mainnet verrà lanciata entro la fine dell’anno?

Contesto di mercato

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.