Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
$50,343.15 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dopropillia75%
0%
Druzkhivka49%
0%
Kramatorsk18%
0%
Sloviansk16%
0%
Panoramica del mercato
Date di lancio:
- Periodo di mercato: dalla data di pubblicazione fino al July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
- Chiusura del mercato: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
- Termine per la risoluzione: la risoluzione sarà determinata dopo la chiusura del mercato, o prima qualora si giunga a un esito
Regole
Il token deve essere attivamente e pubblicamente trasferibile e negoziabile. I semplici annunci non sono sufficienti. Stable ha recentemente suscitato scalpore quando si è assicurata 1 miliardo di dollari in depositi prima del lancio del proprio token. Il fondatore e amministratore delegato di Stable, Paul Faecks, ha dichiarato a Decrypt che la blockchain della stablecoin lancerà la propria mainnet entro «la fine dell’anno». La mainnet verrà lanciata entro la fine dell’anno?
Contesto di mercato
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Di tendenza
Cronologia
Pubblicato sul mercatoJul 23, 2026, 5:50 pm GMT+03:00
Chiusura del mercatoSolo al raggiungimento di un risultato.
RisoluzioneIl risultato verrà convalidato dal team entro 24 ore dal suo verificarsi.
Attività
Pronostica
Dopropillia75%
0.00
scommessa0.00
Profitti0.00
Vincita possibile:.
Di tendenza
Informazioni sui mercati di previsione
