0隻の船がいずれかの日付でホルムズを通過します.. ?
$50,027.11 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 3132%
0%
市場の概要
市場公開日:
- 販売期間:公開日から~ July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
- 市場終了: August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
- 決着期限:決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。
市場の背景
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No."
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication. If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF PortWatch differs from alternative sources. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying except in the case of data integrity issues.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
トレンド
沿革
マーケット公開Jul 23, 2026, 5:49 pm GMT+03:00
市場が終了しました結果が確定した場合のみです。
決議結果については、発生から24時間以内に当チームによって検証されます。
アクティビティ
予想する
August 3132%
0.00
ベット0.00
利益0.00
予想される賞金:.
予測市場について
