2027年以前に10.0以上の地震?
$57,276.52 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
市場の概要
市場公開日:
- 販売期間:公開日から~ July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
- 市場終了: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
- 決着期限:決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。
市場の背景
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
トレンド
沿革
マーケット公開Jul 23, 2026, 5:52 pm GMT+03:00
市場が終了しました結果が確定した場合のみです。
決議結果については、発生から24時間以内に当チームによって検証されます。
アクティビティ
予想する
0.00
ベット0.00
利益0.00
予想される賞金:.
予測市場について
