ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
$367.87 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
市場の概要
市場公開日:
- 販売期間:公開日から~ July 23, 2026, at 2:51 PM UTC
- 市場終了: August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
- 決着期限:決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。
ルール
トークンは、積極的にかつ公に譲渡・取引可能でなければなりません。発表のみでは要件を満たしません。Stableは最近、トークン発売に先立ち10億ドルの預金を確保したことで注目を集めました。Stableの創業者兼CEOであるポール・フェックス氏は、Decryptに対し、同社のステーブルコイン・ブロックチェーンが「年末」までにメインネットを立ち上げる予定であると語りました。果たしてメインネットは年末までに立ち上がるのでしょうか?
市場の背景
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
トレンド
沿革
マーケット公開Jul 23, 2026, 5:51 pm GMT+03:00
市場が終了しました結果が確定した場合のみです。
決議結果については、発生から24時間以内に当チームによって検証されます。
アクティビティ
予想する
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予想される賞金:.
トレンド
予測市場について
