Megaquake by July 31?

$2,465.16 Vol.

Jul 31, 2026

市場の概要

市場公開日：

販売期間：公開日から～ July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
市場終了： July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
決着期限：決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。

ルール

トークンは、積極的にかつ公に譲渡・取引可能でなければなりません。発表のみでは要件を満たしません。Stableは最近、トークン発売に先立ち10億ドルの預金を確保したことで注目を集めました。Stableの創業者兼CEOであるポール・フェックス氏は、Decryptに対し、同社のステーブルコイン・ブロックチェーンが「年末」までにメインネットを立ち上げる予定であると語りました。果たしてメインネットは年末までに立ち上がるのでしょうか？

市場の背景

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.