US economic state at the end of 2026?

$4,381.44 Vol.

Jan 31, 2027

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)59%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)21%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)5%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)2%

市場の概要

市場公開日：

販売期間：公開日から～ July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
市場終了： January 31, 2027, at 12:00 AM UTC
決着期限：決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。

ルール

トークンは、積極的にかつ公に譲渡・取引可能でなければなりません。発表のみでは要件を満たしません。Stableは最近、トークン発売に先立ち10億ドルの預金を確保したことで注目を集めました。Stableの創業者兼CEOであるポール・フェックス氏は、Decryptに対し、同社のステーブルコイン・ブロックチェーンが「年末」までにメインネットを立ち上げる予定であると語りました。果たしてメインネットは年末までに立ち上がるのでしょうか？

市場の背景

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release. This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026. If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026. This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.