2026年は記録的に最も暑い年の中でどこにランクされますか?
$247,346.98 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
179%
0%
220%
0%
32%
0%
6位以下<1%
0%
市場の概要
市場公開日:
- 販売期間:公開日から~ July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
- 市場終了: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
- 決着期限:決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。
市場の背景
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
トレンド
沿革
マーケット公開Jul 23, 2026, 5:52 pm GMT+03:00
市場が終了しました結果が確定した場合のみです。
決議結果については、発生から24時間以内に当チームによって検証されます。
アクティビティ
予想する
179%
0.00
ベット0.00
利益0.00
予想される賞金:.
予測市場について
