中国は2026年末までに台湾に侵攻しますか？

$2,836,849.52 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

市場の概要

市場公開日：

販売期間：公開日から～ July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
市場終了： December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
決着期限：決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。

市場の背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.