A bolha da IA estourou por...?
$215,803.18 Vol.
Jul 1, 2027
30 de junho de 202720%
0%
31 de dezembro de 202610%
0%
Visão geral do mercado
Datas de lançamento:
- Período de comercialização: A partir da data de publicação até July 23, 2026, at 2:51 PM UTC
- Fechamento do mercado: July 1, 2027, at 3:59 AM UTC
- Prazo para resolução: A resolução será determinada após o fechamento do mercado, ou antes disso, caso o resultado seja alcançado
Contexto de mercado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe:
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
- iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high.
- OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.
- OpenAI, Inc. is acquired.
- H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at:
https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index.
- Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
This market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe.
This market will not resolve to "Yes" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Em destaque
Cronograma
Publicado no mercadoJul 23, 2026, 5:51 pm GMT+03:00
Fechamento do mercadoSomente quando o resultado for definido.
ResoluçãoO resultado será validado pela equipe no prazo de 24 horas após sua ocorrência.
Atividade
30 de junho de 202720%
+5
+10
+25
Aposta0.00
Lucro0.00
Ganho possível:.
Em destaque
Sobre os mercados de previsão
