How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$3,761,413.63 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

0 (0 bps)89%

1 (25 bps)7%

2 (50 bps)2%

3 (75 bps)<1%

Visão geral do mercado

Datas de lançamento:

Período de comercialização: A partir da data de publicação até July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
Fechamento do mercado: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Prazo para resolução: A resolução será determinada após o fechamento do mercado, ou antes disso, caso o resultado seja alcançado

Regras

O token deve ser ativamente e publicamente transferível e negociável. Apenas anúncios não são suficientes para atender a esse requisito. A Stable chamou a atenção recentemente ao garantir US$ 1 bilhão em depósitos antes do lançamento de seu token. O fundador e CEO da Stable, Paul Faecks, disse à Decrypt que a blockchain da stablecoin lançará sua mainnet até o “final do ano”. A mainnet será lançada até o final do ano?

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.