A liderança do Irão muda por...?

$1,663,572.85 Vol.

Jun 30, 2027

30 de junho de 202725%

31 de dezembro16%

30 de novembro10%

31 de outubro8%

Visão geral do mercado

Datas de lançamento:

Período de comercialização: A partir da data de publicação até July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
Fechamento do mercado: June 30, 2027, at 12:00 AM UTC
Prazo para resolução: A resolução será determinada após o fechamento do mercado, ou antes disso, caso o resultado seja alcançado

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.