2026 'da kaç tane 7.0 veya üzeri deprem var?

$99,088.64 Cilt.

Dec 31, 2026

14–1649%

17–1933%

20+12%

11–138%

Piyasa genel bakışı

Piyasaya çıkış tarihleri:

Piyasa Dönemi: Yayın tarihinden itibaren July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
Piyasa Kapanışı: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Karar Son Tarihi: Karar, piyasa kapanışından sonra veya sonuca varılması halinde daha erken bir zamanda belirlenecektir.

Pazar Bağlamı

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.