How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

$85,758.92 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

2 (50 bps)69%

1 (25 bps)21%

3 (75 bps)10%

4 (100 bps)<1%

Tổng quan thị trường

Thời gian thị trường:

Thời hạn thị trường: Từ ngày đăng đến July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Thời điểm đóng cửa thị trường: December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
Hạn chót xác định kết quả: Kết quả sẽ được xác định sau khi thị trường đóng cửa, hoặc sớm hơn nếu đã đạt được kết quả

Bối cảnh thị trường

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.