Trung Quốc sẽ xâm lược Đài Loan vào cuối năm 2026?

$2,836,849.52 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Market overview

Market dates:

Market Period: From the publication date through July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Market Closing: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached

Market Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.