AZ-01 Republican Primary Margin of Victory

$1,573.47 卷。

Aug 4, 2026

Feely 10–15%98%

Feely 5–10%<1%

Chaplik 10%+<1%

Feely 15–20%<1%

市场概况

上线日期：

市场周期：自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:48 PM UTC
市场收盘： August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
结算截止时间：结算结果将在市场收盘后确定，若提前达成结果，则可能更早确定

规则

该代币必须能够积极且公开地进行转让和交易。仅发布公告并不符合条件。Stable 近期因在代币发行前就筹集到 10 亿美元存款而引发关注。Stable 创始人兼首席执行官保罗·法克斯（Paul Faecks）向 Decrypt 透露，该稳定币区块链将于“年底前”启动主网。主网能否在年底前上线？

市场背景

The AZ-01 Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the AZ-01 Republican Primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Arizona, such as official statewide results published by the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.