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GPT-6由...发布?

$128,385.41 卷。
Dec 31, 2026
2026年12月31日75%
2026年11月30日63%
2026年10月31日56%
2026年9月30日30%

市场概况

上线日期:


  • 市场周期:自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
  • 市场收盘: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
  • 结算截止时间:结算结果将在市场收盘后确定,若提前达成结果,则可能更早确定

市场背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

热门动态

时间轴

市场发布Jul 23, 2026, 5:49 pm GMT+03:00
市场收盘仅在结果确定后。
决议结果将在事件发生后的 24 小时内由团队进行验证。

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