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  • Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

$5,765.03 卷。
Jul 24, 2026

市场概况

上线日期:


  • 市场周期:自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:47 PM UTC
  • 市场收盘: July 24, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
  • 结算截止时间:结算结果将在市场收盘后确定,若提前达成结果,则可能更早确定

规则

该代币必须能够积极且公开地进行转让和交易。仅发布公告并不符合条件。Stable 近期因在代币发行前就筹集到 10 亿美元存款而引发关注。Stable 创始人兼首席执行官保罗·法克斯(Paul Faecks)向 Decrypt 透露,该稳定币区块链将于“年底前”启动主网。主网能否在年底前上线?

市场背景

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Israel by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT, GMT+3). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Israeli ground territory. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. "Israeli ground territory" refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory, it will not qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IDT) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Israel, the Houthis, and credible reporting.

热门动态

时间轴

市场发布Jul 23, 2026, 5:47 pm GMT+03:00
市场收盘仅在结果确定后。
决议结果将在事件发生后的 24 小时内由团队进行验证。

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