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  • 以色列通过……关闭其领空?

以色列通过……关闭其领空?

$2,093,314.90 卷。
Sep 30, 2026
9月30日10%
8月31日3%

市场概况

上线日期:


  • 市场周期:自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:46 PM UTC
  • 市场收盘: September 30, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
  • 结算截止时间:结算结果将在市场收盘后确定,若提前达成结果,则可能更早确定

市场背景

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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时间轴

市场发布Jul 23, 2026, 5:46 pm GMT+03:00
市场收盘仅在结果确定后。
决议结果将在事件发生后的 24 小时内由团队进行验证。

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