US economic state at the end of 2026?

$4,381.44 卷。

Jan 31, 2027

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)59%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)21%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)5%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)2%

市场概况

上线日期：

市场周期：自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
市场收盘： January 31, 2027, at 12:00 AM UTC
结算截止时间：结算结果将在市场收盘后确定，若提前达成结果，则可能更早确定

规则

该代币必须能够积极且公开地进行转让和交易。仅发布公告并不符合条件。Stable 近期因在代币发行前就筹集到 10 亿美元存款而引发关注。Stable 创始人兼首席执行官保罗·法克斯（Paul Faecks）向 Decrypt 透露，该稳定币区块链将于“年底前”启动主网。主网能否在年底前上线？

市场背景

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release. This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026. If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026. This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.