2026年将跻身有史以来最热的年份之列?
$247,346.98 卷。
Dec 31, 2026
179%
0%
220%
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32%
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6或以下<1%
0%
市场概况
上线日期:
- 市场周期:自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
- 市场收盘: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
- 结算截止时间:结算结果将在市场收盘后确定,若提前达成结果,则可能更早确定
市场背景
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
热门动态
时间轴
市场发布Jul 23, 2026, 5:52 pm GMT+03:00
市场收盘仅在结果确定后。
决议结果将在事件发生后的 24 小时内由团队进行验证。
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