Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

$10,387.15 卷。

Sep 30, 2026

154018%

153017%

152014%

15506%

市场概况

上线日期：

市场周期：自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:51 PM UTC
市场收盘： September 30, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
结算截止时间：结算结果将在市场收盘后确定，若提前达成结果，则可能更早确定

规则

该代币必须能够积极且公开地进行转让和交易。仅发布公告并不符合条件。Stable 近期因在代币发行前就筹集到 10 亿美元存款而引发关注。Stable 创始人兼首席执行官保罗·法克斯（Paul Faecks）向 Decrypt 透露，该稳定币区块链将于“年底前”启动主网。主网能否在年底前上线？

市场背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".