1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$9,683.06 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Panorama general del mercado

Fechas de lanzamiento:

Periodo de comercialización: Desde la fecha de publicación hasta el July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
Cierre del mercado: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Plazo de resolución: La resolución se determinará tras el cierre del mercado, o antes si se alcanza el resultado.

Normas

El token debe ser transferible y negociable de forma activa y pública. Los meros anuncios no son suficientes. Stable causó recientemente revuelo al conseguir 1 000 millones de dólares en depósitos antes del lanzamiento de su token. El fundador y director ejecutivo de Stable, Paul Faecks, declaró a Decrypt que la cadena de bloques de la stablecoin pondrá en marcha su red principal a «finales de año». ¿Se lanzará la red principal antes de que termine el año?

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 1 megaton (1000 kilotons) of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.