AIバブルが破裂… ?
$215,803.18 出来高
Jul 1, 2027
2027年6月30日20%
0%
2026年12月31日10%
0%
市場の概要
市場公開日:
- マーケット期間:公開日から July 23, 2026, at 2:51 PM UTC
- 市場終了: July 1, 2027, at 3:59 AM UTC
- 決着期限:決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。
市場の背景
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe:
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
- iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high.
- OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy.
- OpenAI, Inc. is acquired.
- H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at:
https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index.
- Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), or Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high.
This market may resolve immediately once three conditions have been met within 90 days of the specified timeframe.
This market will not resolve to "Yes" until three conditions have been met, regardless of reporting of an industry downturn or similar claims.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the respective companies and listing exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
トレンド
タイムライン
マーケット公開Jul 23, 2026, 5:51 pm GMT+03:00
市場が終了しました結果が確定した場合のみです。
決議結果については、発生から24時間以内に当チームによって検証されます。
アクティビティ
2027年6月30日20%
+5
+10
+25
ベット0.00
利益0.00
予想される賞金:.
予測市場について
