network
******
  • 予想
  • arrow
  • 2026年にFRBの利下げは何回ですか?

2026年にFRBの利下げは何回ですか?

$4,043,757.57 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0(0ベーシスポイント)86%
1回(25ベーシスポイント)10%
2(50ベーシスポイント)4%
3回(75ベーシスポイント)<1%

市場の概要

市場公開日:


  • 販売期間:公開日から~ July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
  • 市場終了: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
  • 決着期限:決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。

市場の背景

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

トレンド

沿革

マーケット公開Jul 23, 2026, 5:49 pm GMT+03:00
市場が終了しました結果が確定した場合のみです。
決議結果については、発生から24時間以内に当チームによって検証されます。

アクティビティ