米国は2027年までにイランを侵略するだろうか？

$4,837,184.84 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

市場の概要

市場公開日：

販売期間：公開日から～ July 23, 2026, at 2:48 PM UTC
市場終了： December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
決着期限：決着は市場終了後に決定されますが、結果が確定した場合はそれより早く決着することがあります。

市場の背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.