Which party will win the House in 2026?

$682,912.81 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

Democratic Party86%

Republican Party14%

Market overview

Market dates:

Market Period: From the publication date through July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Market Closing: November 3, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached

Rules

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. Stable recently raised eyebrows when it secured $1 billion in deposits ahead of its token launch. Stable founder and CEO, Paul Faecks, told Decrypt that the stablecoin blockchain will launch its mainnet by “late year.” Will mainnet launch by the end of year?

Market Context

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.