Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

$8,837.99 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

None before 202743%

Netanyahu - Israel PM27%

Sánchez - Spanish PM6%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President6%

Panorâmica do mercado

Datas de lançamento no mercado:

Período de comercialização: A partir da data de publicação até July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
Encerramento do mercado: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Prazo para a resolução: A resolução será determinada após o fecho do mercado, ou antes, caso se chegue a um resultado

Regras

O token deve ser ativamente e publicamente transferível e negociável. Os meros anúncios não são suficientes. A Stable suscitou recentemente alguma surpresa ao angariar mil milhões de dólares em depósitos antes do lançamento do seu token. O fundador e CEO da Stable, Paul Faecks, afirmou à Decrypt que a blockchain da stablecoin irá lançar a sua mainnet até ao «final do ano». Será que a mainnet será lançada até ao final do ano?

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.