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  • Uma empresa chinesa terá um modelo de IA top ___ até 31 de dezembro?

Uma empresa chinesa terá um modelo de IA top ___ até 31 de dezembro?

$17,103.65 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
#335%
#110%

Panorâmica do mercado

Datas de lançamento no mercado:


  • Período de comercialização: A partir da data de publicação até July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
  • Encerramento do mercado: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
  • Prazo para a resolução: A resolução será determinada após o fecho do mercado, ou antes, caso se chegue a um resultado

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time. This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Em destaque

Cronologia

Publicado no MarketJul 23, 2026, 5:50 pm GMT+03:00
Encerramento do mercadoApenas quando se chega a um resultado.
ResoluçãoO resultado será validado pela equipa no prazo de 24 horas após a sua ocorrência.

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