A China invadirá Taiwan até o final de 2026?

$2,836,849.52 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Panorâmica do mercado

Datas de lançamento no mercado:

Período de comercialização: A partir da data de publicação até July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Encerramento do mercado: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Prazo para a resolução: A resolução será determinada após o fecho do mercado, ou antes, caso se chegue a um resultado

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.