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  • 2026年美联储加息几次?

2026年美联储加息几次?

$57,466.99 卷。
Dec 31, 2026
2次(50个基点)57%
3次(75个基点)28%
1次(25个基点)15%
4次(100个基点)2%

市场概况

上线日期:


  • 市场周期:自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
  • 市场收盘: December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC
  • 结算截止时间:结算结果将在市场收盘后确定,若提前达成结果,则可能更早确定

市场背景

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

热门动态

时间轴

市场发布Jul 23, 2026, 5:50 pm GMT+03:00
市场收盘仅在结果确定后。
决议结果将在事件发生后的 24 小时内由团队进行验证。

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