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  • Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

$50,338.49 卷。
Dec 31, 2026
Dopropillia75%
Druzkhivka49%
Kramatorsk18%
Sloviansk16%

市场概况

上线日期:


  • 市场周期:自发布之日起至 July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
  • 市场收盘: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
  • 结算截止时间:结算结果将在市场收盘后确定,若提前达成结果,则可能更早确定

规则

该代币必须能够积极且公开地进行转让和交易。仅发布公告并不符合条件。Stable 近期因在代币发行前就筹集到 10 亿美元存款而引发关注。Stable 创始人兼首席执行官保罗·法克斯(Paul Faecks)向 Decrypt 透露,该稳定币区块链将于“年底前”启动主网。主网能否在年底前上线?

市场背景

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

热门动态

时间轴

市场发布Jul 23, 2026, 5:50 pm GMT+03:00
市场收盘仅在结果确定后。
决议结果将在事件发生后的 24 小时内由团队进行验证。

活动

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