Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

$7,652.18 Vol.

Jun 30, 2027

Farage 60%+48%

Farage 40-60%35%

Farage <20%9%

Farage 20-40%8%

Panorama general del mercado

Fechas de lanzamiento:

Periodo de comercialización: Desde la fecha de publicación hasta el July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Cierre del mercado: June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC
Plazo de resolución: La resolución se determinará tras el cierre del mercado, o antes si se alcanza el resultado.

Normas

El token debe ser transferible y negociable de forma activa y pública. Los meros anuncios no son suficientes. Stable causó recientemente revuelo al conseguir 1 000 millones de dólares en depósitos antes del lanzamiento de su token. El fundador y director ejecutivo de Stable, Paul Faecks, declaró a Decrypt que la cadena de bloques de la stablecoin pondrá en marcha su red principal a «finales de año». ¿Se lanzará la red principal antes de que termine el año?

Contexto de mercado

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.