¿GPT-6 publicado por...?

$128,385.41 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

31 de diciembre de 202675%

30 de noviembre de 202663%

31 de octubre de 202656%

30 de septiembre de 202630%

Panorama general del mercado

Fechas de lanzamiento:

Periodo de comercialización: Desde la fecha de publicación hasta el July 23, 2026, at 2:49 PM UTC
Cierre del mercado: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Plazo de resolución: La resolución se determinará tras el cierre del mercado, o antes si se alcanza el resultado.

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.