US economic state at the end of 2026?

$4,380.44 Vol.

Jan 31, 2027

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)59%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)21%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)5%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)3%

Panorama general del mercado

Fechas de lanzamiento:

Periodo de comercialización: Desde la fecha de publicación hasta el July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
Cierre del mercado: January 31, 2027, at 12:00 AM UTC
Plazo de resolución: La resolución se determinará tras el cierre del mercado, o antes si se alcanza el resultado.

Normas

El token debe ser transferible y negociable de forma activa y pública. Los meros anuncios no son suficientes. Stable causó recientemente revuelo al conseguir 1 000 millones de dólares en depósitos antes del lanzamiento de su token. El fundador y director ejecutivo de Stable, Paul Faecks, declaró a Decrypt que la cadena de bloques de la stablecoin pondrá en marcha su red principal a «finales de año». ¿Se lanzará la red principal antes de que termine el año?

Contexto de mercado

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release. This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026. If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026. This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%. This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%. The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.