¿Algún modelo de IA alcanzará ___ Puntuación general de Arena antes del 30 de septiembre?

$10,778.28 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026

152015%

15305%

15405%

15501%

Panorama general del mercado

Fechas de lanzamiento:

Periodo de comercialización: Desde la fecha de publicación hasta el July 23, 2026, at 2:51 PM UTC
Cierre del mercado: September 30, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
Plazo de resolución: La resolución se determinará tras el cierre del mercado, o antes si se alcanza el resultado.

Contexto de mercado

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".