Total
- Prediction
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$448,978.50 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
Market overview
Market dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through July 23, 2026, at 2:48 PM UTC
- Market Closing: December 9, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached
Rules
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. Stable recently raised eyebrows when it secured $1 billion in deposits ahead of its token launch. Stable founder and CEO, Paul Faecks, told Decrypt that the stablecoin blockchain will launch its mainnet by “late year.” Will mainnet launch by the end of year?
Market Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Timeline
Market publishedJul 23, 2026, 5:48 pm GMT+03:00
Market closesOnly when an outcome is reached.
ResolutionThe outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
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