OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$17,561.25 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Market overview
Market dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through July 23, 2026, at 2:52 PM UTC
- Market Closing: December 31, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached
Market Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Timeline
Market publishedJul 23, 2026, 5:52 pm GMT+03:00
Market closesOnly when an outcome is reached.
ResolutionThe outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
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