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  • Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$5,334,146.64 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
December 314%
September 30<1%

Market overview

Market dates:


  • Market Period: From the publication date through July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
  • Market Closing: January 1, 2027, at 4:59 AM UTC
  • Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached

Market Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Timeline

Market publishedJul 23, 2026, 5:50 pm GMT+03:00
Market closesOnly when an outcome is reached.
ResolutionThe outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.

Activity