Total
- Prediction
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$70,835.24 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
Market overview
Market dates:
- Market Period: From the publication date through July 23, 2026, at 2:50 PM UTC
- Market Closing: July 31, 2026, at 7:59 PM UTC
- Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached
Rules
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. Stable recently raised eyebrows when it secured $1 billion in deposits ahead of its token launch. Stable founder and CEO, Paul Faecks, told Decrypt that the stablecoin blockchain will launch its mainnet by “late year.” Will mainnet launch by the end of year?
Market Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Timeline
Market publishedJul 23, 2026, 5:50 pm GMT+03:00
Market closesOnly when an outcome is reached.
ResolutionThe outcome will be validated by the team within 24 hours of its occurrence.
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